By Jonathan Caulkins
Within the battle on medicinal drugs, young ones are at the entrance strains. is simply announcing no safeguard adequate? The authors learn the result of well known institution drug prevention courses to figure out how potent they're at decreasing cocaine use and even if those courses are cash good spent, compared to drug-enforcement or drug-treatment courses.
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Additional resources for An ounce of prevention, a pound of uncertainty: the cost-effectiveness of school-based drug prevention programs
Example text
Also, the comparison is with typical enforcement and treatment programs. We have not attempted to identify innovative enforcement or treatment approaches that might prove more cost-effective than typical programs. Page 11 Chapter Two Effectiveness at Reducing Cocaine Consumption To estimate the effectiveness of school-based prevention programs at reducing cocaine consumption, we multiply together a set of eight factors. In the next chapter, we will divide the product by cost to get cost-effectiveness.
For any given level of enforcement, decreasing the demand for cocaine increases the amount of enforcement relative to the amount of use. This increase in enforcement pressure will tend to drive up cocaine's price. Even those who did not participate in the prevention program see the higher prices, so they are likely to use less cocaine. We use a model of the cocaine market to arrive at a "best estimate" of the market multiplier. To derive low and high estimates, we use a factor-by-factor analysis of uncertainty similar to that we use for this study as a whole.
Thus, the only drug-use outcomes measured are for alcohol, tobacco, and marijuana, since most people do not start using the so-called "hard" drugs until they are somewhat older. We infer reduction in cocaine consumption from measures of marijuana consumption by adolescents. 2 We also address more briefly the overall social value of cocaine controla value that must be established before drug control objectives can be compared analytically with other public policy goals. Once an objective is chosen, a way must be found to express the achievements of diverse drug control programs in terms of that objective.